arial view of solar panels on green field, photo by andreas  gucklhorn

Off-grid energy distribution

Photo by Andreas Gucklhorn on Unplash

Off-grid energy distribution

Country
Sector
Most major industry classification systems use sources of revenue as their basis for classifying companies into specific sectors, subsectors and industries. In order to group like companies based on their sustainability-related risks and opportunities, SASB created the Sustainable Industry Classification System® (SICS®) and the classification of sectors, subsectors and industries in the SDG Investor Platform is based on SICS.
Renewable Resources and Alternative Energy
Sub Sector
Most major industry classification systems use sources of revenue as their basis for classifying companies into specific sectors, subsectors and industries. In order to group like companies based on their sustainability-related risks and opportunities, SASB created the Sustainable Industry Classification System® (SICS®) and the classification of sectors, subsectors and industries in the SDG Investor Platform is based on SICS.
Alternative Energy
Indicative Return
Describes the rate of growth an investment is expected to generate within the IOA. The indicative return is identified for the IOA by establishing its Internal Rate of Return (IRR), Return of Investment (ROI) or Gross Profit Margin (GPM).
> 25% (in IRR)
Investment Timeframe
Describes the time period in which the IOA will pay-back the invested resources. The estimate is based on asset expected lifetime as the IOA will start generating accumulated positive cash-flows.
Medium Term (5–10 years)
Market Size
Describes the value of potential addressable market of the IOA. The market size is identified for the IOA by establishing the value in USD, identifying the Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) or providing a numeric unit critical to the IOA.
USD 100 million - USD 1 billion
Average Ticket Size (USD)
Describes the USD amount for a typical investment required in the IOA.
USD 1 million - USD 10 million
Direct Impact
Describes the primary SDG(s) the IOA addresses.
Affordable and Clean Energy (SDG 7)
Indirect Impact
Describes the secondary SDG(s) the IOA addresses.
No Poverty (SDG 1) Quality Education (SDG 4) Responsible Consumption and Production (SDG 12) Climate Action (SDG 13)

Business Model Description

Distribute accessible renewable electricity services to communities out of reach of the interconnected electric power distribution grid. Companies that install, distribute, and maintain pre-paid solar battery storage kits to homes, schools, hospitals, and businesses through mom-and-pop shops that sell prepaid solar credit to customers, avoiding collection risk.

Expected Impact

This initiative intends to reduce the inequality in the access to energy and diversify the energy matrix towards renewable sources.

How is this information gathered?

Investment opportunities with potential to contribute to sustainable development are based on country-level SDG Investor Maps.

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Country & Regions

Explore the country and target locations of the investment opportunity.
Country
Region
  • Colombia: Pacific
  • Colombia: Orinoquía
  • Colombia: Amazon
Learn more

Sector Classification

Situate the investment opportunity within sustainability focused sector, subsector and industry classifications.
Sector

Renewable Resources and Alternative Energy

Development need
-44% of green house gases emissions in Colombia come from energy related activities that comprise the burning of fossil fuels in manufacturing, transportation, oil&gas industries. >Less than 1% of the country's energy sources come from non-conventional renewable sources (1) (2).

Policy priority
-The National Energy Plan 2020-2025 sets the target of diversification of Colombia's energy matrix to be 12-20% non-conventional renewable sourced by 2050 (2).

Gender inequalities and marginalization issues
-86.1% of individuals living in rural areas have access to electricity, compared to 99.6% of individuals living in urban areas (3).

Investment opportunities
-Energy generation through non-conventional sources. -Energy generation for non-interconnected areas -Renewable energy auctions (4).

Key bottlenecks
-Colombia has a heavily concentrated energy matrix and new technologies are costly for private investors due to the low development of the non-conventional renewable energy market.

Industry

Solar Technology and Project Developers

Pipeline Opportunity

Discover the investment opportunity and its corresponding business model.
Investment Opportunity Area

Off-grid energy distribution

Distribution of affordable and renewably sourced pre-paid electricity to off-grid communities
Business Model

Distribute accessible renewable electricity services to communities out of reach of the interconnected electric power distribution grid. Companies that install, distribute, and maintain pre-paid solar battery storage kits to homes, schools, hospitals, and businesses through mom-and-pop shops that sell prepaid solar credit to customers, avoiding collection risk.

Business Case

Learn about the investment opportunity’s business metrics and market risks.

Market Size and Environment

Market Size (USD)
Describes the value in USD of a potential addressable market of the IOA.

USD 100 million - USD 1 billion

CAGR
Describes the historical or expected annual growth of revenues in the IOA market.

> 25%

- $ 450 M USD market opportunity assuming $15 Average Revenue per User (ARPU) per month.(6)

- Local investors report an expected IRR of over 25% for off-grid renewable energy distribution (17).

Indicative Return

IRR
Describes an expected annual rate of growth of the IOA investment.

> 25%

Local investors report an expected IRR of over 25% for off-grid renewable energy distribution (17).

Investment Timeframe

Timeframe
Describes the time period in which the IOA will pay-back the invested resources. The estimate is based on asset expected lifetime as the IOA will start generating accumulated positive cash-flows.

Medium Term (5–10 years)

Local investors report the expected holding period for off-grid energy distribution to be 5-10 years

Ticket Size

Average Ticket Size (USD)
Describes the USD amount for a typical investment required in the IOA.

USD 1 million - USD 10 million

Market Risks & Scale Obstacles

Capital - CapEx Intensive

CAPEX requirements are high due to the early stage of the market, however, CAPEX requirements are expected to drop as the market grows and technology improves. These high costs could lead to the creation of black markets.

Market - High Level of Competition

The energy is heavily concentrated and dominated by a few big market players who can be aggressive when entering the renewables market.

Market - Highly Regulated

The lack of long-term Power Purchase Agreements (PPAs) could limit the impact of initiatives given reduced investor interest under these uncertain conditions.

Impact Case

Read about impact metrics and social and environmental risks of the investment opportunity.

Sustainable Development Need

In 2017 at least 2.5 million Colombians had no access to electricity in remote areas of the country (7)

70% of the electricity is produced from water sources (vulnerable to climate change). 30% comes from thermoelectric plants that use gas, coal and diesel, and 0.13% is renewable energy.(8)

Gender & Marginalisation

86.1% of individuals living in rural areas have access to electricity, compared to 99.6% of individuals living in urban areas (3).

Expected Development Outcome

Guarantee energy coverage to the currently unserved rural population

Improve the quality of the environment by reducing polluting emissions.

Enhance energy efficiency and reduce excess carbon emissions by ensuring reliability of supply.

Guarantee sufficient transmission capacity for energy generation to connect to the national grid and efficiently reach consumers and markets.

Increase the share of renewable energy in the country's total energy generation matrix.

Gender & Marginalisation

Reduce rural gaps in access to public services including electricity, preventing poverty traps.

Primary SDGs addressed

Affordable and Clean Energy (SDG 7)
7 - Affordable and Clean Energy

7.2.1 Renewable energy share in the total final energy consumption

7.b.1 Installed renewable energy-generating capacity in developing countries (in watts per capita)

7.1.1 Proportion of population with access to electricity

Current Value

Current non conventional renewable share (2019):Current non conventional renewable share: 1% (2).

The current level (2019): per capita installed capacity of non-conventional renewables is 3.9kWh (2).

Current level (2018): electricity coverage in Colombia is around 96% (16).

Target Value

Target level (2050): 7-12% non-conventional renewables share in the total country's energy generation matrix

Target level (2030): 7.7 kWh per capita installed capacity of non-conventional renewables (2).

Target level (2030): 100% national electricity coverage(16).

Secondary SDGs addressed

1 - No Poverty
4 - Quality Education
12 - Responsible Consumption and Production
13 - Climate Action

Directly impacted stakeholders

People

- 2.5 million Colombians living in off-grid communities. (9) - 0.9 million women head of households without access to electricity - 1.2 million children in off-grid communities can now study at home (9).

Public sector

-The government is directly impacted in its ability to fulfill its energy transition target and connect vulnerable populations to electricity.

Planet

-Reduction in greenhouse emissions would significantly benefit several ecosystems.

Indirectly impacted stakeholders

People

20M Colombians living in highly dense urban centers suffer from contamination and airborne diseases.(1)

Corporates

The energy distributors and generators will benefit from the stability and burden relief from the electricity generated by new projects.

Outcome Risks

The high level of investment required to provide renewable energy creates an opportunity cost and trade-off: the investment that could be used to provide traditional sources of energy to vulnerable populations faster. Focusing on non-conventional renewables can delay achieving electricity coverage.

Increased prices of energy at peak demand times due to the high cost of renewable energy in the short term.

Implementation of technology could affect the way communities live and lead to cultural rejection of the projects.

Impact Risks

Execution risk: - Neglecting the importance of community participation in the selection of the correct technology to supply energy could cause disputes and hinder the process.

Drop off risks: - Despite communities are being used to prepaid cell phones, prepaid electricity services might require some cultural and financial adaptation and system usage training.

External risk: - Drastic changes in the environment that are not accounted for such as earthquakes, weather changes, and other natural disasters affecting ability to source energy.

Impact Classification

C—Contribute to Solutions

What

Positive and significant outcome due to improved basic services coverage and sustainability.

Risk

Failing to diversify the energy matrix could lead to energy shortages, lack of access and environmental health problems.

Impact Thesis

This initiative intends to reduce the inequality in the access to energy and diversify the energy matrix towards renewable sources.

Enabling Environment

Explore policy, regulatory and financial factors relevant for the investment opportunity.

Policy Environment

(National Energy Plan 2020-2025): sets the target of diversification of Colombia's energy matrix to be 12-20% non-conventional renewable sourced by 2050 (designed by UPME) (2).

(Plan Nacional de Desarrollo): Pact for the quality and efficiency of public services - Implement alternative solutions for access to electricity in most remote areas for at least 100 new homes leveraged by the National Rural Electrification Plan (PNER), which defines prioritization criteria and plans electrification investments in rural populations with higher unsatisfied basic needs.(10)

(Estrategia Colombiana de Desarrollo Bajo en Carbono): Decouple the growth of GHG emissions from economic growth by promoting the alternative sector development.(11)

Financial Environment

Fiscal incentives: Income tax: 50% deduction from total investments in renewable energy. Equipment, machinery purchases, and services for new and existing investments and measurement and evaluation of the acquisition of potential resources in renewable energy projects VAT excluded .(4)

Financial incentives: Bancoldex and the Ministry of Commerce, Industry and Tourism, launched $ 100 billion pesos credit line to promote investment projects in sustainable development and energy efficiency.(4)

Financial incentives: FAER (a fund created by the Ministry of Energy) allows Territorial Entities, to manage investment plans, programs and projects prioritized for the construction and installation of electrical infrastructure and coverage expansion (4).

Regulatory Environment

(Law 1715 of 2014): regulates the integration of URES into the national electricity system encouraging investment, R&D in the sector, by: (1) Authorizing auto-generators to sell their surpluses to the distribution network and the development of projects based on URES is promoted.(12)

(Law 629 of 2000): this law approved joining the international Kyoto Protocol with the purpose of committing to greenhouse gases emission reduction (13).

(Energy and Gas Regulation Commission (CREG) resolution 098 of 2019): first regulation on renewable energy storage through batteries (14).

Marketplace Participants

Discover examples of public and private stakeholders active in this investment opportunity that were identified through secondary research and consultations.

Private Sector

PeopleFund, Engie, SEAF, FCP Innovación, Proparco, Low Carbon Enterprise Fund, Global Partnerships, IDB, FMO, Cabef are organizations that have funded community solar projects.

Government

UPME, Ministry of Energy and National Government working towards a common goal, carrying out renewable auctions and providing investment incentives.

Non-Profit

Ferdescol and Asorenovables are NGOs promoting the importance of the use of renewable energy in the country.

Multilaterals

Multilateral organizations such as BID Invest are financing renewable energy projects for over USD 1bn in the La Guajira department through Bancoldex (15).

Target Locations

See what country regions are most suitable for the investment opportunity. All references to Kosovo shall be understood to be in the context of the Security Council Resolution 1244 (1999)
country static map

Colombia: Pacific

There are ~1.1 M Colombians living in the Pacific Region disconnected from the grid. This region is prioritized by the Plan Indicativo de Expansión de Cobertura de Energía Eléctrica. (7)
rural

Colombia: Orinoquía

There are ~0.4 M Colombians living in the Orinoquía Region disconnected from the grid. This region is prioritized by the Plan Indicativo de Expansión de Cobertura de Energía Eléctrica. (7)

Colombia: Amazon

There are ~0.6 M Colombians living in the Amazonas Region disconnected from the grid. This region is prioritized by the Plan Indicativo de Expansión de Cobertura de Energía Eléctrica. (7)

References

See what sources were used to establish the investment opportunity’s data and find resources that could be consulted to explore more.
    • (1)IDEAM (2012) – Inventario de efecto invernadero. Accessed May 22nd 2020
    • (2) UPME (2019) -Plan Energético Nacional
    • (3) DANE (2018) Mujeres Rurales en Colombia
    • (4) Colombia Investment Summit (2020) - Energy. Accessed February 8th 2021.
    • (5) Kingo. Accessed February 8th 2020 (https://www.kingoenergy.com/)
    • (6) Hirmer (2017) – The benefits of energy appliances in the off-grid energy sector based on seven off-grid initiatives. Accessed May 15 2020
    • (7) Sáenz (2017) En penumbras 25 millones de colombianos no tienen energía eléctrica. Acceso 3 de Mayo 2020
    • (8) WWF (2018) – Petición por las energías renovables. Acceso 2 de Mayo 2020
    • (9) Camacol (2019) – Informe de gestión 2018-2019. Accessed May 13 2020
    • (10) DNP (2017) – Plan Nacional de Desarrollo.Accessed May 13 2020
    • (11) MinAmbiente (2011) – Estrategia Colombiana de Desarrrollo Bajo en Carbono. Accessed June 3rd 2020
    • (12) ICEX (2019) – Energías Renovables en Colombia.Accessed May 13 2020.
    • (13) Cámara de comercio de Cali (2016)- Normatividad para las Energías Renovables en Colombia. Accessed February 8th 2021.
    • (14) Energía estratégica (2019) -El Gobierno de Colombia expide su primera regulación para la acumulación de renovables mediante baterías. Accessed February 8th 2021
    • (15) Energía estratégica (2019) Multilaterales financiarán proyectos de energías renovables por 1.000 millones de dólares en Colombia. Accessed February 8th 2020.
    • (16) Minenergia (2014) Energía eléctrica
    • (17) Valora Analitik (2021) Colombia llegaría a 734 mw de capacidad instalada de energías renovables en 2021. Accessed February 8th 2021.